PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - CR (--MO) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-04 Version:6

Prediction Map
CR MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
CR MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos9
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-1-3-414317-2
Rep+1+3+4-1-1-2538+2
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193049
Republican123749
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Final Map

Maine: King (I but really D)
Massachusetts: Warren (D)
Vermont: Sanders (I but really D)
New York: Gillibrand (D)
Connecticut: Murphy (D)
Rhode Island: Whitehouse (D)
New Jersey: Menendez (D)
Pennsylvania: Casey (D)
Delaware: Carper (D)
Maryland: Cardin (D)
West Virginia: Manchin (D)
Virginia: Allen (R)
Florida: Nelson (D)
Ohio: Brown (D)
Michigan: Stabenow (D)
Indiana: Mourdock (R)
Tennessee: Corker (R)
Mississippi: Wicker (R)
Wisconsin: Baldwin (D)
Minnesota: Klobuchar (D)
Missouri: McCaskill (D)
Texas: Cruz (R)
Nebraska: Fischer (R)
North Dakota: Berg (R)
Montana: Rehberg (R)
Wyoming: Barrasso (R)
Utah: Hatch (R)
New Mexico: Heinrich (D)
Arizona: Flake (R)
Nevada: Heller (R)
Washington: Cantwell (D)
California: Feinstein (D)
Hawaii: Hirono (D)

Total Count: 51 Democrat, 49 Republican

House of Representative: 239 Republican, 196 Democrat


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 51/56 30/56 81/112 72.3% pie 10 3 194T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 16/34 46/68 67.6% pie 5 3 252T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 4 3 67T279
P 2014 Senate 35/36 18/36 53/72 73.6% pie 10 1 158T382
P 2014 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 6 1 15T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 233 17T153
P 2012 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 25 2 489T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 19/33 48/66 72.7% pie 6 2 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 8/11 18/22 81.8% pie 5 2 24T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 17/52 63/104 60.6% pie 29 - 27T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 1 245 37T106
P 2010 Senate 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 19 1 63T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 8 1 106T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 3 1T103
P 2008 President 47/56 28/56 75/112 67.0% pie 44 1 702T1,505
P 2008 Senate 31/33 14/33 45/66 68.2% pie 7 1 257T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 4 1 232T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 43/52 24/52 67/104 64.4% pie 22 - 23T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 34/49 15/49 49/98 50.0% pie 23 - 55T235
Aggregate Predictions 534/609 307/609 841/1218 69.0% pie



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