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PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - Volksliberalist (I-WA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-13 Version:1

Prediction Map
Volksliberalist MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Volksliberalist MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1-2-2-413417-3
Rep+2+2+4-1-1-2538+2
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193049
Republican123749
Independent202
 pie

Analysis

I know I'm going out on a limb with Washington, but after watching the debate I see clear vulerabilities with Maria Cantwell.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 46/56 19/56 65/112 58.0% pie 2 448 624T678
P 2012 President 50/56 40/56 90/112 80.4% pie 4 18 489T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 12/33 41/66 62.1% pie 1 24 241T343
P 2010 Senate 30/37 19/37 49/74 66.2% pie 2 91 242T456
P 2010 Governor 29/37 22/37 51/74 68.9% pie 1 13 158T312
P 2008 President 53/56 46/56 99/112 88.4% pie 14 4 26T1,505
P 2008 Senate 29/33 17/33 46/66 69.7% pie 2 187 227T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 188 152T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 34/52 9/52 43/104 41.3% pie 5 - 90T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 12/49 5/49 17/98 17.3% pie 3 - 169T235
Aggregate Predictions 322/420 195/420 517/840 61.5% pie



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