Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-16 Version:1

Prediction Map

palinode Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

palinode Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	8
Ind	3
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	3
Tos	2
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	15	6	21	+1
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	5	3	8	-2
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	30	52
Republican	8	37	45
Independent	3	0	3

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President
2016 Senate	28/34	14/34	42/68	61.8%		4	27	327	T	362
2016 Governor	6/12	2/12	8/24	33.3%		2	177	274	T	279
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%		7	0	182	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	10/33	40/66	60.6%		1	21	252	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%		1	21	196	T	228
2008 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%		25	0	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%		3	9	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		1	13	152	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	226/246	144/246	370/492	75.2%

User Info

	palinode Forum Profile
	palinode Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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