PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - DS0816 (--MI) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-09-22 Version:2

Prediction Map
DS0816 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
DS0816 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem25
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem25
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos0
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+2+40-1-115520+3
Rep0+1+1-2-3-5415-4
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic253055
Republican63743
Independent202
pie

Analysis

* SCENARIO *

Down-ticket impact following the "47 percent" speech by Mitt Romney … along with a presidential election outcome of a landslide loss.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 4/56 0/56 4/112 3.6% pie 3 60 677678
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 8 10 182T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 18/33 49/66 74.2% pie 2 45 128T343
P 2010 Senate 32/37 21/37 53/74 71.6% pie 5 32 167T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 23/37 56/74 75.7% pie 1 32 106T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 3 1T103
P 2008 President 50/56 38/56 88/112 78.6% pie 10 2 276T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 24 281T407
Aggregate Predictions 238/310 158/310 396/620 63.9% pie



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