Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-09-19 Version:4

Prediction Map

Republican95 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Republican95 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	13
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	8
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-3	-4	14	3	17	-4
Rep	+1	+3	+4	0	-1	-1	6	3	9	+3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	30	48
Republican	13	37	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	31/35	27/35	58/70	82.9%		7	0	97	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	28/36	62/72	86.1%		3	0	23	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	8	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	47/56	100/112	89.3%		16	5	35	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	25/35	57/70	81.4%		10	3	25	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	270	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		3	9	35	T	192
2018 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		4	7	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	29/36	62/72	86.1%		3	9	2	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	1	40	T	149
2016 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%		8	1	149	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	20/34	51/68	75.0%		7	1	60	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%		4	1	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		4	0	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		13	1	60	T	382
2012 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		7	1	367	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	16/33	44/66	66.7%		4	48	211	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	41/52	7/52	48/104	46.2%		2	-	80	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	20/37	54/74	73.0%		3	1	151	T	456
Aggregate Predictions	508/570	358/570	866/1140	76.0%

User Info

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