Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:1

Prediction Map

Simfan34 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Simfan34 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	15	6	21	+1
Rep	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	5	4	9	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	30	52
Republican	9	37	46
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	54/56	35/56	89/112	79.5%		2	6	434	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	17/35	50/70	71.4%		1	4	274	T	423
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	4	104	T	192
2016 President	25/56	12/56	37/112	33.0%		2	330	671	T	678
2014 Senate	26/36	11/36	37/72	51.4%		1	363	359	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	13/36	40/72	55.6%		1	363	241	T	300
2012 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		2	6	534	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	10/33	39/66	59.1%		1	1	268	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%		1	1	196	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	39/52	13/52	52/104	50.0%		3	-	68		231
Aggregate Predictions	295/374	152/374	447/748	59.8%

User Info

Simfan34 Forum Profile

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