PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - CasualObserver (L-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-03 Version:4

Prediction Map
CasualObserver MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
CasualObserver MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+3-1-3-414317-1
Rep+1+3+4-1-2-3527+1
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203050
Republican113748
Independent202
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 292
P 2018 Senate 32/35 16/35 48/70 68.6% pie 2 21 306T483
P 2016 President 51/56 24/56 75/112 67.0% pie 46 0 440T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 9 2 164T362
P 2016 Governor 11/12 6/12 17/24 70.8% pie 2 4 14T279
P 2014 Senate 36/36 18/36 54/72 75.0% pie 19 1 138T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 11 4 192T300
P 2012 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 12 6 630T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 13/33 43/66 65.2% pie 4 3 221T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 1 267 179T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 11/52 46/104 44.2% pie 18 - 86T231
Aggregate Predictions 314/361 157/361 471/722 65.2% pie


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