PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-25 Version:4

Prediction Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos13
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+3-1-2-3144180
Rep+1+2+3-1-2-35270
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic213051
Republican103747
Independent202
pie

Analysis

I'm switching Indiana from R to D after Mourdock's comments about rape. Thanks again for foisting another unelectable candidate on us in the name of ideology, Tea Partiers.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 29/35 14/35 43/70 61.4% pie 2 200 417T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 15/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 301 295T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 31 40T149
P 2016 President 42/56 12/56 54/112 48.2% pie 5 47 660T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 17/34 48/68 70.6% pie 4 63 164T362
P 2016 Governor 11/12 7/12 18/24 75.0% pie 1 63 3T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 7 8T112
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 13 4 4T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 12 4 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 234 17T153
P 2012 President 53/56 33/56 86/112 76.8% pie 8 5 591T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 12 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 3 1 89T228
Aggregate Predictions 308/352 169/352 477/704 67.8% pie



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