Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:1

Prediction Map

The Buffalo Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

The Buffalo Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	14
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	7
Ind	1
Tos	11
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+2	+2	-2	-3	-5	13	3	16	-3
Rep	+2	+3	+5	0	-1	-1	6	3	9	+4
Ind	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	-1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	30	48
Republican	14	37	51
Independent	1	0	1

pie

Analysis

Simply noting any relevant race in grey so I am reminded to follow it tomorrow. Don't put much stock in the predicted outcome.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	32/56	82/112	73.2%		5	0	149	T	678
2012 President	49/56	40/56	89/112	79.5%		7	1	508	T	760
2012 Senate	24/33	8/33	32/66	48.5%		1	1	323	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	123/145	80/145	203/290	70.0%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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