PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - stry_cat (L-VA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-26 Version:1

Prediction Map
stry_cat MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
stry_cat MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind1
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind1
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-30-312618-1
Rep+30+3-10-1549+2
Ind0000-1-1101-1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203050
Republican123749
Independent101
pie

Analysis

I haven't been paying attention to the senate races. Other than Virginia everything is a wild guess.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 238
P 2022 Senate 29/35 19/35 48/70 68.6% pie 1 1 280T305
P 2022 Governor 27/36 16/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 1 260T272
P 2020 President 43/56 37/56 80/112 71.4% pie 2 39 627T684
P 2016 President 46/56 23/56 69/112 61.6% pie 4 12 579T678
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 2 1 401T760
P 2012 Senate 27/33 9/33 36/66 54.5% pie 1 11 297T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 1 11 179T228
P 2010 Senate 31/37 18/37 49/74 66.2% pie 1 1 242T456
P 2008 President 50/56 33/56 83/112 74.1% pie 3 8 404T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 16/33 46/66 69.7% pie 3 2 257T465
P 2004 President 51/56 28/56 79/112 70.5% pie 23 1 1285T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 397/465 242/465 639/930 68.7% pie



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