PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - Du_Chateau (I-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:2

Prediction Map
Du_Chateau MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Du_Chateau MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+3+40-1-115520+3
Rep0+1+1-1-3-4516-3
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic243054
Republican73744
Independent202
pie

Analysis

My final senatoral predication. Arizona, Conn., Indiana, Montana, Nevada, and North Dakota could go either way though.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 15/35 45/70 64.3% pie 3 3 392T
P 2018 Governor 31/36 15/36 46/72 63.9% pie 2 11 285T
P 2016 President 44/56 22/56 66/112 58.9% pie 7 0 614T
P 2016 Senate 28/34 16/34 44/68 64.7% pie 3 5 302T
P 2014 Senate 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 42 282T
P 2014 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 42 253T
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 1 182T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 12/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 1 211T
P 2010 Senate 24/37 9/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 165 441T
P 2008 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 4 6 276T
P 2004 President 52/56 22/56 74/112 66.1% pie 19 6 1527T
Aggregate Predictions 404/471 218/471 622/942 66.0% pie


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