PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - haletow (--CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-02 Version:1

Prediction Map
haletow MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
haletow MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem27
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+3+600015621+6
Rep000-3-3-6314-6
Ind0000001010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic273057
Republican43741
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Obama's coattails big. Especially in the swing states.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 45/56 21/56 66/112 58.9% pie 3 41 614T678
P 2016 Senate 25/34 5/34 30/68 44.1% pie 1 312 361362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 2/12 10/24 41.7% pie 1 312 254T279
P 2012 President 53/56 12/56 65/112 58.0% pie 3 28 741T760
P 2012 Senate 27/33 1/33 28/66 42.4% pie 1 35 334T343
P 2012 Governor 8/11 1/11 9/22 40.9% pie 1 35 221T228
P 2010 Senate 29/37 6/37 35/74 47.3% pie 2 98 429T456
P 2010 Governor 27/37 2/37 29/74 39.2% pie 2 98 296T312
P 2008 President 52/56 28/56 80/112 71.4% pie 4 41 503T1,505
P 2004 President 51/56 34/56 85/112 75.9% pie 9 1 706T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 325/388 112/388 437/776 56.3% pie


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