PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - hoshie (D-NC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-03 Version:6

Prediction Map
hoshie MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
hoshie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos7
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+30-2-215419+1
Rep0+2+2-1-2-3527-1
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic223052
Republican93746
Independent202
pie

Analysis

The momentum seems to be with Tester in MT, it seems the Dems could really win IN.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2014 Senate 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 6 9 99T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 1 1 73T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 1 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 41/56 96/112 85.7% pie 3 14 265T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 6 3 94T343
P 2010 Senate 34/37 14/37 48/74 64.9% pie 3 2 265T456
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 19 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 31/56 83/112 74.1% pie 1 6 404T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 1 6 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 6 86T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 31 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 15/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 3 207T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 18/36 53/72 73.6% pie 2 0 93T312
P 2004 President 54/56 20/56 74/112 66.1% pie 6 1 1527T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 409/430 225/430 634/860 73.7% pie



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