Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-02 Version:1

Prediction Map

SirJOW Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

SirJOW Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	17
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	9
Ind	1
Tos	11
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-4	-3	-7	11	3	14	-6
Rep	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	6	4	10	+7
Ind	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	-1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	30	45
Republican	17	37	54
Independent	1	0	1

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	49/56	25/56	74/112	66.1%		1	294	473	T	678
2012 President	46/56	31/56	77/112	68.8%		1	153	699	T	760
2012 Senate	24/33	9/33	33/66	50.0%		1	4	319	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		1	4	131	T	228
2008 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%		8	11	537	T	1,505
2008 Senate	26/33	8/33	34/66	51.5%		1	53	390	T	407
2008 Governor	8/11	2/11	10/22	45.5%		2	53	257	T	264
2004 President	53/56	29/56	82/112	73.2%		11	5	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	264/312	140/312	404/624	64.7%

Links

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