PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - WMS (I-NM) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-30 Version:1

Prediction Map
WMS MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
WMS MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind1
 
Tos12
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+2+2-1-3-414317-2
Rep+1+3+40-2-2628+2
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193049
Republican123749
Independent202
pie

Analysis

There sure are more surprises than I thought there were going to be...way to be a dumb@$$, Akin. Naturally, anything in gray could be wrong...


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 50/56 41/56 91/112 81.3% pie 1 7 466T
P 2012 Senate 29/33 14/33 43/66 65.2% pie 1 7 221T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 1 7 179T
P 2008 President 52/56 25/56 77/112 68.8% pie 6 1 625T
P 2008 Senate 31/33 14/33 45/66 68.2% pie 8 1 257T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 11 1 65T
P 2006 Governor 36/36 22/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 5 44T
P 2004 President 53/56 23/56 76/112 67.9% pie 15 6 1441T
Aggregate Predictions 293/314 164/314 457/628 72.8% pie



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