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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-08 Version:48

Prediction Map
Liberalrocks MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Liberalrocks MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos10
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-1-2-315318-1
Rep+1+2+3-2-1-3102120
Ind+10+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203252
Republican153045
Independent123
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2014-10-08 @ 17:56:38 prediction Map
Best Case Scenario for Democrats at this time:<br /> <br /> -Noting a victory by either Weiland or Pressler in SD would be considered a hold for democrats assuming Pressler would caucus with Democrats in the majority.<br /> -An Orman victory in Kansas caucusing with a democratic majority.

 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2014-10-18 @ 22:37:11 prediction Map
Very optimistic! I'm afraid its too late in KY, SD, AK, and maybe AR. I think Nunn may pull it out though!

 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2014-10-21 @ 11:11:16 prediction Map
This was just my best case scenario my current map unfortunately is where I see things at present. Hopefully we can flip a couple of the close races. This year I am going to hope I am way off on my prediction lol.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 5 0 285T
P 2018 Governor 33/36 25/36 58/72 80.6% pie 3 2 56T
P 2016 President 48/56 29/56 77/112 68.8% pie 14 0 369T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 17/34 47/68 69.1% pie 7 0 213T
P 2016 Governor 9/12 6/12 15/24 62.5% pie 5 0 47T
P 2014 Senate 33/36 24/36 57/72 79.2% pie 60 0 82T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 53 0 123T
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 97 1 77T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 48 0 40T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 12 0 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 26/52 70/104 67.3% pie 67 - 5T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 71 1 63T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 44 5 106T
P 2008 President 51/56 42/56 93/112 83.0% pie 53 1 139T
P 2008 Senate 31/33 15/33 46/66 69.7% pie 4 24 227T
P 2008 Governor 8/11 5/11 13/22 59.1% pie 2 17 232T
P 2008 Dem Primary 49/52 18/52 67/104 64.4% pie 24 - 23T
P 2008 Rep Primary 33/49 16/49 49/98 50.0% pie 7 - 55T
Aggregate Predictions 595/670 379/670 974/1340 72.7% pie



Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Carolina3 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

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