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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-25 Version:17

Prediction Map
colin MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
colin MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep25
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-6-4-1010111-10
Rep+6+4+1000012315+10
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic113243
Republican253055
Independent022
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: vt500ascott (D-TX) 2014-10-27 @ 14:42:41 prediction Map
Yours is the most accurate "most Republican map". This scenario could actually happen. It's not going to. But at least it's not impossible...

 By: RMH8824 (R-IA) 2014-10-29 @ 23:46:47 prediction Map
I'd say this one isn't completely unrealistic. Six months ago I would have thought this is a 'crazy' map. The GOP has at least some momentum in all ten states that this guy has being picked up.

 By: colin (R-ON) 2014-10-30 @ 10:22:48 prediction Map
This is completely realistic at this point. I will post a final prediction before Tuesday. The states that I see most subject to change in my prediction are New Hampshire, North Carolina and Kansas. My final prediction will be somewhere between +7 and +10.

 By: colin (R-ON) 2014-11-05 @ 00:24:33 prediction Map
Off by 1...the last prediction was COMPLETELY possible and realistic

 By: colin (R-ON) 2014-11-18 @ 19:09:28 prediction Map
A bit of a disappointing cycle on election atlas. Where were my friends dnul, CR, LR, Miles, KS and doniki? Virtually no one commented on the results. Hope you are all doing well and hope 2016 is a better year on here. Although I can't say I'm disappointed with the results =)

 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2014-11-20 @ 08:45:47 prediction Map
It was a very quiet year here. Too quiet. As for the results, I found them rather disappointing and stunning, especially in my home state, but I'm glad you're happy with the results. It was easily the best year for Republicans in a decade, and hopefully the results will make our political system a little less dysfunctional. It's good to hear from you, colin!


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President 52/56 35/56 87/112 77.7% pie 9 1 35T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 4 1 164T
P 2016 Governor 11/12 8/12 19/24 79.2% pie 2 1 1T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 18 1 60T
P 2014 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 12 1 15T
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 228 138T
P 2012 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 28 1 367T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 20/33 51/66 77.3% pie 11 1 94T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 6/11 15/22 68.2% pie 3 48 131T
P 2010 Senate 31/37 22/37 53/74 71.6% pie 42 0 167T
P 2010 Governor 31/37 24/37 55/74 74.3% pie 23 0 118T
P 2008 President 49/56 44/56 93/112 83.0% pie 16 2 139T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 3 281T
P 2008 Governor 9/11 5/11 14/22 63.6% pie 2 3 212T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 25/33 13/33 38/66 57.6% pie 1 1 402T
P 2006 Governor 30/36 13/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 1 232T
P 2004 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 3 1 283T
Aggregate Predictions 512/575 342/575 854/1150 74.3% pie



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