PredictionsEndorse2014 Senatorial Predictions - canuck666 (R-NV) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2014-11-01 Version:1

Prediction Map
canuck666 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
canuck666 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep26
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-7-4-119110-11
Rep+7+4+1100012315+11
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic103242
Republican263056
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
573423
piepiepie

Analysis

Same map as before but with my surprise upset pick: Virginia. In 2013 the gubernatorial race was locked up, especially with a third party siphoning over 140,000 votes mostly from the right. Polls had McAuliffe up by almost 10 points and spending by outside groups favored McAuliffe by over 2-1. This was supposed to be a snoozer but instead he barely won in a nail bitingly close finish. Looking at that it's hard not to see this race as being closer than people and pundits think, but could there be an actual upset? Probably not but the chance is bigger than people think and it will definitely be closer than polls show.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 2 41 194T678
P 2014 Senate 34/36 23/36 57/72 79.2% pie 1 3 82T382
Aggregate Predictions 84/92 54/92 138/184 75.0% pie


Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Carolina3 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

Back to 2014 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved