Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:2

Prediction Map

skolodji Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

skolodji Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	19
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-3	-3	-6	13	2	15	-5
Rep	+3	+3	+6	-1	-1	-2	11	2	13	+4
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	32	48
Republican	19	30	49
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	31	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 Senate	30/35	15/35	45/70	64.3%		1	363	390	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	365	51	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		1	6	67	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	24/36	55/72	76.4%		1	8	122	T	372
2016 President	48/56	25/56	73/112	65.2%		3	0	496	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%		5	0	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		2	2	67	T	279
2014 Senate	31/36	22/36	53/72	73.6%		2	1	158	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	13/36	40/72	55.6%		1	585	241	T	300
2012 President	55/56	45/56	100/112	89.3%		2	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	23/33	54/66	81.8%		4	8	40	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		3	1	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	33/52	7/52	40/104	38.5%		8	-	109	T	231
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%		5	2	46	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	28/36	62/72	86.1%		7	0	19	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	446/512	283/512	729/1024	71.2%

User Info

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Links

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