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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:2

Prediction Map
dmurphy1984 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
dmurphy1984 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos8
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-5-4-911112-9
Rep+5+4+900012315+9
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic123244
Republican243054
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
623626
piepiepie

Analysis

Changed Iowa to a GOP gain, from DEM hold...polls seem to show the Republican with the momentum. Other than that, all other seats stay the same as before.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: dmurphy1984 (R-NY) 2014-11-05 @ 05:41:19 prediction Map
BAM!...well, not perfect, but pretty damn close! :D


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 1 12 28T
P 2016 President 53/56 38/56 91/112 81.3% pie 1 1 8T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 18/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 1 120T
P 2014 Senate 36/36 26/36 62/72 86.1% pie 2 1 4T
P 2012 President 50/56 39/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 5 508T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 1 0 144T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 27/37 60/74 81.1% pie 4 0 54T
P 2008 President 49/56 32/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 7 474T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 6 113T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 1 176 107T
P 2004 President 55/56 37/56 92/112 82.1% pie 15 11 126T
Aggregate Predictions 436/466 296/466 732/932 78.5% pie


Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Carolina3 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

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