Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:21
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
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Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
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Version: 14 Maybe this is a bit of wishful thinking, but who knows? Are red states in the deep south really going to vote Dem? Getting Arkansas to go blue is as tall an order as getting South Carolina to go blue. I know Dem senate control relies on Democrats campaigning on how they are not really Democrats, but will it really work? Ask Blanche Lincoln. I guess we will find out eventually. Thanks to a botched ACA rollout and Washington (and the west in general's) failure to act decisively in the Ukrainian crisis I think the electorate will be old, white, and scared enough for every credible Republican to win. Version: 13 1 state, 2 nations Version: 2 A good republican scenario due to a general anger at the government and obamacare in red states romney won. Closest races are Alaska and Montana. NC, LA, AR, and IA could go either way. Version: 1 Seems pretty likely
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