Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:1

Prediction Map

K.Dobrev Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

K.Dobrev Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-4	-8	12	1	13	-8
Rep	+4	+4	+8	0	0	0	12	3	15	+8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	32	45
Republican	23	30	53
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
65	35	30

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		1	0	147	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	27/36	61/72	84.7%		1	0	51	T	272
2020 President	51/56	42/56	93/112	83.0%		1	5	260	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	17/35	49/70	70.0%		1	3	309	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	9/11	19/22	86.4%		1	5	10	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	3	14	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	26/35	58/70	82.9%		1	0	15	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		1	2	38	T	372
2016 President	49/56	34/56	83/112	74.1%		2	0	114	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	19/34	49/68	72.1%		1	0	120	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	6/12	13/24	54.2%		1	0	119	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	30/36	65/72	90.3%		1	0	1		382
2014 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%		1	0	39	T	300
2012 President	55/56	41/56	96/112	85.7%		4	1	265	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		2	1	164	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		2	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	15/52	9/52	24/104	23.1%		7	-	183		231
2011 Governor	3/4	1/4	4/8	50.0%		1	30	79	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		4	1	34	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		4	0	29	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	1	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%		12	0	13	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%		3	1	14	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	1	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	32/52	8/52	40/104	38.5%		6	-	106	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	35/49	18/49	53/98	54.1%		5	-	36	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		3	11	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%		5	3	65	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	24/36	59/72	81.9%		3	1	36	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	799/926	560/926	1359/1852	73.4%

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