Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:4

Prediction Map

mphacker Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mphacker Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	17
Ind	1
Tos	6
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-4	-7	13	1	14	-7
Rep	+3	+4	+7	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+6
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	32	46
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	33	24

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		4	0	82	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	20/36	50/72	69.4%		3	0	39	T	300
2012 President	55/56	45/56	100/112	89.3%		4	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		3	1	20	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		3	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	17/52	61/104	58.7%		36	-	38	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	22/37	56/74	75.7%		14	1	116	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		12	1	29	T	312
2008 President	50/56	37/56	87/112	77.7%		15	0	306	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		10	0	9	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		10	0	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	45/52	27/52	72/104	69.2%		28	-	7	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	37/49	16/49	53/98	54.1%		30	-	36	T	235
2004 President	52/56	31/56	83/112	74.1%		12	25	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	500/555	326/555	826/1110	74.4%

User Info

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Links

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