Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:7

Prediction Map

Illinois Dem Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Illinois Dem Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-4	-6	14	1	15	-6
Rep	+2	+4	+6	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+5
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	32	47
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
36	32	4

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	35/35	11/35	46/70	65.7%		1	0	291	T	305
2020 President	53/56	26/56	79/112	70.5%		5	7	637	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%		2	4	194	T	423
2016 President	50/56	4/56	54/112	48.2%		5	1	660	T	678
2014 Senate	32/36	4/36	36/72	50.0%		7	0	370	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	10/36	38/72	52.8%		1	176	263	T	300
2012 President	55/56	36/56	91/112	81.3%		5	1	466	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	19/33	49/66	74.2%		3	0	128	T	343
2010 Senate	35/37	4/37	39/74	52.7%		7	7	401	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	0/37	35/74	47.3%		2	7	267	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	383/417	136/417	519/834	62.2%

Links

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