PredictionsEndorse2014 Senatorial Predictions - albaleman (D-MN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:8

Prediction Map
albaleman MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
albaleman MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-2-4-614115-6
Rep+2+4+6-10-111314+5
Ind+10+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic153247
Republican203050
Independent123
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
553223
piepiepie

Analysis

LA is just the general - Landrieu will lose the runoff<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Alabama<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Jeff Sessions 87%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Alaska<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Mark Begich 48%<br /><br /><br /> Dan Sullivan 47%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Arkansas<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Tom Cotton 52%<br /><br /><br /> Mark Pryor 44%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Oregon<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Jeff Merkley 59%<br /><br /><br /> Monica Wehby 38%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Hawaii<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Brian Schatz 76%<br /><br /><br /> Cam Cavasso 23%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Idaho<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Jim Risch 66%<br /><br /><br /> Nels Mitchell 31%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Montana<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Steve Daines 56%<br /><br /><br /> Amanda Curtis 40%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Wyoming<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Mike Enzi 72%<br /><br /><br /> Charlie Hardy 26%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Colorado<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Cory Gardner 49%<br /><br /><br /> Mark Udall 48%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> New Mexico<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Tom Udall 57%<br /><br /><br /> Allen Weh 42%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> South Dakota<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Mike Rounds 45%<br /><br /><br /> Rick Weiland 33%<br /><br /><br /> Larry Pressler 20%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Nebraska<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Ben Sasse 63%<br /><br /><br /> Dave Domina 36%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Kansas<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Greg Orman 49%<br /><br /><br /> Pat Roberts 48%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Oklahoma<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Jim Inhofe 67%<br /><br /><br /> Matt Silverstien 31%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Oklahoma Special<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> James Lankford 67%<br /><br /><br /> Connie Johnson 32%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Texas<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> John Cornyn 59%<br /><br /><br /> David Alameel 38%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Minnesota<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Al Franken 53%<br /><br /><br /> Mike McFadden 42%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Iowa<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Joni Ernst 49%<br /><br /><br /> Bruce Braley 48%<br /> <br /> Louisiana<br /> <br /> Mary Landrieu 45%<br /> Bill Cassidy 38%<br /> <br /> Runoff:<br /> <br /> Bill Cassidy 52%<br /> Mary Landrieu 48%<br /><br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Illinois<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Dick Durbin 55%<br /><br /><br /> Jim Oberweis 42%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Kentucky<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Mitch McConell 52%<br /><br /><br /> Alison Lundergan Grimes 45%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Tennessee<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Lamar Alexander 57%<br /><br /><br /> Gordon Ball 38%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Mississippi<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Thad Cochran 56%<br /><br /><br /> Travis Childers 41%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Michigan<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Gary Peters 55%<br /><br /><br /> Terri Lynn Land 42%<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> West Virginia<br /><br /><br /> <br /><br /><br /> Shelly Moore Capito 58%<br /><br /><br /> Natalie Tennant 41%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> New Jersey<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Cory Booker 57%<br /><br /> Jeff Bell 41%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Delaware<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Chris Coons 58%<br /><br /> Kevin Wade 40%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Virginia<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Mark Warner 52%<br /><br /> Ed Gillespie 43%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> North Carolina<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Kay Hagan 49%<br /><br /> Thom Tillis 46%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> South Carolina<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Lindsey Graham 52%<br /><br /> Brad Hutto 32%<br /><br /> Thomas Ravanel 14%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Georgia<br /><br /> <br /><br /> David Perdue 49%<br /><br /> Michelle Nunn 47%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Runoff:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> David Perdue 54%<br /><br /> Michelle Nunn 46%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Maine:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Susan Collins 61%<br /><br /> Sheanna Bellows 38%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> New Hampshire:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Jeanne Shaheen 50%<br /><br /> Scott Brown 49%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Massachusetts:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Ed Markey 58%<br /><br /> Brian Herr 41%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Rhode Island:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Jack Reed 71%<br /><br /> Mark Zaccaria 29%<br /><br /> <br /><br /> South Carolina Special:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Tim Scott 61%<br /><br /> Joyce Dickerson 38%<br /> <br /> House: 243 GOP, 192 DEM<br />


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 292
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 4 24 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 1 306 226T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T149
P 2016 President 51/56 29/56 80/112 71.4% pie 14 0 246T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 19/34 50/68 73.5% pie 7 0 89T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 3 0 67T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 1 123 57T112
P 2014 Senate 32/36 23/36 55/72 76.4% pie 8 0 122T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 4 0 123T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 34 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 42 2 146T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 22/33 52/66 78.8% pie 7 2 74T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 2 2 131T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 23/52 68/104 65.4% pie 41 - 13T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 11 1 12T106
P 2010 Senate 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 108 0 21T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 26/37 60/74 81.1% pie 59 0 45T312
Aggregate Predictions 437/482 287/482 724/964 75.1% pie



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