Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:21

Prediction Map

d-russ Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

d-russ Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	24
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-6	-4	-10	10	1	11	-10
Rep	+6	+4	+10	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+9
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	11	32	43
Republican	24	30	54
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
59	34	25

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	29/56	79/112	70.5%		9	393	280	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	17/34	48/68	70.6%		6	343	164	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	7/12	15/24	62.5%		3	343	47	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		2	143	72	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%		21	1	42	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%		18	1	39	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	136	17	T	153
2012 President	48/56	28/56	76/112	67.9%		84	5	702	T	760
2012 Senate	25/33	13/33	38/66	57.6%		27	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		3	43	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	40/52	20/52	60/104	57.7%		57	-	41	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	2/4	5/8	62.5%		3	14	37	T	106
2010 Senate	31/37	17/37	48/74	64.9%		48	1	265	T	456
2010 Governor	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%		41	2	179	T	312
2008 President	48/56	21/56	69/112	61.6%		4	12	1031	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	393/465	223/465	616/930	66.2%

User Info

	d-russ Forum Profile
	d-russ Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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