Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:17
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
Analysis
One day remains. I have finally decided to flip Alaska; the prospect of a Begich upset is looking much less likely although I will not be surprised at all if he pulls it out. I don't think it's a stretch to say that Alaska is the race to watch tomorrow. <br /><br /> It's hard to believe how far things have come in the last few months- throughout 2013 my predictions were static at R+3, with SD and WV as pickups and MT, AR and GA flipping in and out of Republican hands. <br /><br /> After 2012 I'm reluctant to predict such a good night for Republicans, but this time all indications are pointing to it. So my final projection ends up being more favorable to Republicans than any before it: R+7 with the possibility of R+8 if Orman caucuses with Republicans. Aside from that, well, we'll just have to see if this truly works out.
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