Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-30 Version:38

Prediction Map

MATTROSE94 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

MATTROSE94 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-4	-4	-8	12	1	13	-7
Rep	+4	+4	+8	0	-1	-1	12	2	14	+7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	32	46
Republican	22	30	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	34	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: MATTROSE94 (D-NJ) 2014-11-10 @ 10:44:28
The only states that I got wrong were North Carolina (I thought that Sean Haugh would have took enough votes away from Thom Tillis to give Kay Hagan a second term), Georgia (Felt that Michelle Nunn would get a plurality in the regular election but lose in the run-off) and Louisiana (Felt that Bill Cassidy would win the most votes in the run-off election). In addition, a lot of the margins that I predicted each candidate to win by were proven to be incorrect.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2022 Senate	28/35	8/35	36/70	51.4%		10	11	300		305
2022 Governor	24/36	6/36	30/72	41.7%		4	11	269		272
2021 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		5	13	111	T	118
2020 President	48/56	21/56	69/112	61.6%		37	6	675		684
2020 Senate	28/35	8/35	36/70	51.4%		36	4	421		423
2020 Governor	11/11	1/11	12/22	54.5%		2	17	284	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	13/35	44/70	62.9%		10	9	402	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		6	11	273	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	114	40	T	149
2016 President	48/56	23/56	71/112	63.4%		26	2	552	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	12/34	42/68	61.8%		23	2	327	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	3/12	11/24	45.8%		9	1	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		4	1	8	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	20/36	54/72	75.0%		38	5	138	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%		30	1	145	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	356/425	149/425	505/850	59.4%

User Info

	MATTROSE94 Forum Profile
	MATTROSE94 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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