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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-31 Version:3

Prediction Map
Smash255 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Smash255 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Tos8
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-3-3-613215-6
Rep+3+3+6-10-111314+5
Ind+10+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic153247
Republican203050
Independent123
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
573225
piepiepie

Analysis

Basically just updated a few %'s that I didn't pay close enough attention to previously


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 3 4 82T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 14/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 1 145T
P 2012 President 56/56 46/56 102/112 91.1% pie 1 2 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 1 2 40T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 24/37 58/74 78.4% pie 4 1 86T
P 2010 Governor 37/37 26/37 63/74 85.1% pie 2 1 11T
P 2008 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 16 2 13T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 20/33 53/66 80.3% pie 4 2 57T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 10/11 21/22 95.5% pie 2 2 3T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 158 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 15 2 20T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 1 44T
P 2004 President 49/56 33/56 82/112 73.2% pie 2 139 1036T
Aggregate Predictions 440/463 315/463 755/926 81.5% pie



Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2 Oklahoma3 South Carolina3

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