PredictionsEndorse2014 Senatorial Predictions - Du_Chateau (I-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-09-23 Version:1

Prediction Map
Du_Chateau MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Du_Chateau MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind1
 
Tos2
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+10-3-316218-2
Rep0+3+3-1-1-211213+1
Ind+10+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193251
Republican163046
Independent123
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
452817
piepiepie

Analysis

This is the best that the Democrats can hope for. Retaining all their incumbents and picking up an open seat. The Republicans pick up three democratic open seats. It looks like Kansas is going to be picked up be an independent.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 15/35 45/70 64.3% pie 3 3 392T
P 2018 Governor 31/36 15/36 46/72 63.9% pie 2 11 285T
P 2016 President 44/56 22/56 66/112 58.9% pie 7 0 614T
P 2016 Senate 28/34 16/34 44/68 64.7% pie 3 5 302T
P 2014 Senate 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 42 282T
P 2014 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 42 253T
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 1 182T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 12/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 1 211T
P 2010 Senate 24/37 9/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 165 441T
P 2008 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 4 6 276T
P 2004 President 52/56 22/56 74/112 66.1% pie 19 6 1527T
Aggregate Predictions 404/471 218/471 622/942 66.0% pie


Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Carolina3 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

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