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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-13 Version:209
Prediction Map
* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
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Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 163 Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate in 2016 is winning <br /> Lean Democratic <br /> 45)CO-Bennet-D<br /> 46)IL-Duckworth-D<br /> 47)WI-Feingold-D<br /> Tossup<br /> 48)FL-Murphy-D<br /> 49)NV-Cortez Masto-D<br /> 50)NH-Hassan-D<br /> 51)OH-Strickland-D<br /> Version: 162 Democrats regain control of the US Senate by winning vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats in CO-Bennet-D and NV-OPENReid-D/Cortez Masto-D and winning vulnerable Republican held US Senate seats in IL-Kirk-R/Duckworth-D,WI-Johnson-R/Feingold-D,NH-Ayotte-R/Hassan-D,OH-Portman-R/Strickland-D and FL-OPENRubio-R/if Murphy-D is the Democratic nominee plus Democratic nominee for POTUS Clinton or Sanders wins the Presidential Electoral College. Version: 110 This is tribute to former Arkansas US Senators Dale Bumpers who died at the age 90 last week.<br /> Dale Bumpers represented the Democratic wing of the Democratic party. Unlike the recent former Democratic US Senators Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor. Bumpers made a good decision retiring from the US Senate in 1998, a Democrat but a wrong Democrat replaced him.<br /> A Bumpers retirement in 2004 would have end up with a Republican replacing him due to Bush/Cheney coattails. A Bumpers retirement in 2010 would have resulted in a Republican replacing him. Republican wave. Version: 34 Democrats guide to regaining majority control of the US Senate.<br /> Win US Senate races in CA,CO,CT,HI,IL,MD,NY,OR,VT,WA,and WI,-47D plus pure Tossup Races in <br /> NV and OH -49D and wild card races in<br /> AZ-McCain-R loses the Republican nomination to Ward-R who ends up making a gaffe in the General Election.<br /> FL-Murphy-D wins the Democratic nomination or Grayson-D faces Conteras Lopez-R or Desantis-R in the General Election.<br /> IN-Stutzman-R wins the Republican nomination and makes a Mourdock like gaffe in the General Election<br /> NH-Hassan-D decides to run for the US Senate.<br /> Version: 32 2016 US Senate Election.<br /> Democrats are strongly favored to win<br /> 37)CA-Harris-D<br /> 38)CT-Blumenthal-D<br /> 39)HI-Schatz-D<br /> 40)MD-Edwards-D<br /> 41)NY-Schumer-D<br /> 42)OR-Wyden-D<br /> 43)VT-Leahy-D<br /> 44)WA-Murray-D<br /> Republicans are strongly favored to win<br /> 31)AL-Shelby-R<br /> 32)AK-Murkowski-R<br /> 33)AR-Boozman-R<br /> 34)GA-Isakson-R<br /> 35)ID-Crapo-R<br /> 36)IA-Grassley-R<br /> 37)KS-Moran-R<br /> 38)KY-Paul-R<br /> 39)LA-Boustany-R<br /> 40)ND-Hoeven-R<br /> 41)OK-Lankford-R<br /> 42)SC-Scott-R<br /> 43)SD-Thune-R<br /> 44)UT-Lee-R<br /> Democrats are favored to win<br /> 45)CO-Bennet-D<br /> 46)IL-Duckworth-D<br /> 47)WI-Feingold-D<br /> Republicans are favored to win<br /> 45)MO-Blunt-R<br /> 46)NC-Burr-R<br /> Democrats are slightly favored to win<br /> 48)AZ-Kirkpatrick-D(if McCain loses in the primary)<br /> 49)FL-Murphy-D <br /> 50)IN-Hill-D(if Stutzman-R wins the primary)<br /> 51)NV-Cortez Masto-D<br /> 52)NH-if Hassan-D runs<br /> 53)OH-Strickland-D<br /> 54)PA-McGinty-D<br /> Republicans will win<br /> 47)AZ-if McCain-R wins the primary<br /> 48)FL-if Grayson-D wins the primary<br /> 49)IN-if Holcomb-R or Young-R win the primary<br /> 50)NV-if Republicans win at the Presidential level.<br /> 51)NH-if Hassan-D does not run.<br /> 52)OH-if Republicans win at the Presidential level.<br /> Version: 2 NV is the only Democratic held US Senate seat that is likely to be a lean Republican takeover. <br /> Democrats are going to hold onto CO,WA,CA,OR,CT,MD,NY,VT,and HI- 45D <br /> Democrats will pick up Republican held seats in IL and WI- 47D <br /> Without NV, Democrats will need to win 3 more Republican held seats <br /> OH,PA,and FL. Version: 1 Democrats will win CA,CT,HI,MD,NY,OR,VT,and WA by a double digit margin. 44D <br /> Democrats will win CO,IL,NV,and WI by a high single digit margin. 48D <br /> Democrats need to win FL and OH or NH or PA to regain control of the U.S. Senate.
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