PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-14 Version:210

Prediction Map
nkpolitics1279 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
nkpolitics1279 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+7+2+90007310+9
Rep000-7-2-915015-9
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193453
Republican153045
Independent022
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-14 @ 03:48:26 prediction Map
Democrats getting 50 US Senate Seats have become easy.<br /> Democrats have been strongly favored to win <br /> 37-44)CA,CT,HI,MD,NY,OR,VA,and WA.<br /> Democrats are now favored to win<br /> 45)CO-weak GOP nominee.<br /> 46)IL-Top Tier Democratic nominee/Clinton coattails.<br /> 47)WI-Top Tier Democratic nominee/weak GOP incumbent.<br /> 48)IN-Bayh-D candidacy.<br /> 49)AZ-McCain-R primary defeat.<br /> The 50/51 seat for Democrats is either NV/NH.<br /> A huge Democratic wave will result in<br /> 52)OH-defeat of Portman-R<br /> 53)FL-defeat of Rubio-R<br /> 54)PA-defeat of Toomey-R<br /> 55)NC-defeat of Burr-R<br /> Possible upsets are in <br /> 56/57)IA/MO <br />

 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-14 @ 19:17:20 prediction Map
Number of Republican incumbent US Senators that need to be defeated in order for Democrats to regain control of the US Senate.<br /> Democratic incumbent US Senators favored to get re-elected<br /> 37)CO-Bennet-D<br /> 38)CT-Blumenthal-D<br /> 39)HI-Schatz-D<br /> 40)NY-Schumer-D<br /> 41)OR-Wyden-D<br /> 42)VT-Leahy-D<br /> 43)WA-Murray-D<br /> Open Democratic held US Senate Seats likely to remain in the Democratic column.<br /> 44)CA-(Open Boxer-D)Harris-D<br /> 45)MD-(Open Mikulski-D)Van Hollen-D<br /> Open Republican held US Senate Seat likely to go Democratic.<br /> 46)IN-(Open Coats-R)Bayh-D<br /> Republican US Senate incumbents likely to be defeated<br /> 47)IL-(Kirk-R)Duckworth-D<br /> 48)WI-(Johnson-R)Feingold-D<br /> Without NV and Trump-R winning<br /> 3 Republican incumbent US Senators need to be defeated.<br /> 1)NH-Ayotte-R 49<br /> 2)OH-Portman-R 50<br /> 3)FL-Rubio-R 51<br /> With NV and Trump-R winning<br /> 2 Republican incumbent US Senators need to be defeated<br /> 1)NH-Ayotte-R 50<br /> 2)OH-Portman-R 51<br /> Without NV and Clinton-D winning<br /> 2 Republican incumbent US Senators need to be defeated.<br /> 1)NH-Ayotte-R 49<br /> 2)OH-Portman-R 50<br /> With NV and Clinton-D winning<br /> 1 Republican US Senator needs to be defeated<br /> 1)NH-Ayotte-R 50<br />


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 20 4 10T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 221 4 164T362
P 2014 Senate 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 97 16 42T382
P 2014 Governor 28/36 16/36 44/72 61.1% pie 1 325 171T300
P 2012 President 52/56 43/56 95/112 84.8% pie 111 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 27 38 74T343
Aggregate Predictions 227/251 161/251 388/502 77.3% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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