PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - dnul222 (D-MN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-25 Version:4

Prediction Map
dnul222 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
dnul222 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+4+1+50-1-1729+4
Rep0+1+1-4-1-518119-4
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic143448
Republican203050
Independent022
pie

Analysis

2 big changes- slight lean to Bayh as the new nominee in Indiana, and Rubio has a slight lead in Florida plus Nevada moves to GOP very slightly....end result is 50-50.<br /> <br /> But Trump and Clinton are popular vote neck and neck for now-wait for Dem bounce. Check my new presidential site which I will now do.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2016-07-25 @ 16:44:57 prediction Map
Although I have not done the Presidential page as yet...I believe that the house will be lighter 20 GOP seats and 4-5 GOP senate seats.

 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2016-07-30 @ 08:49:13 prediction Map
There is a good chance that Ohio and Pennsyl. go Dem for the senate...<br /> I could see a pickup of six seats for Dems minus Nevada for GOP..


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 50/56 16/56 66/112 58.9% pie 8 1 614T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 11/34 43/68 63.2% pie 8 0 317T362
P 2014 Senate 32/36 16/36 48/72 66.7% pie 19 13 240T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 16/36 47/72 65.3% pie 2 162 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 229 1T153
P 2012 President 54/56 30/56 84/112 75.0% pie 46 2 630T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 7/33 38/66 57.6% pie 8 3 283T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 5/11 14/22 63.6% pie 1 78 157T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 4/52 30/104 28.8% pie 1 - 154T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 11/37 45/74 60.8% pie 50 7 306T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 18/37 52/74 70.3% pie 26 6 143T312
P 2008 President 53/56 24/56 77/112 68.8% pie 83 1 625T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 4 122 281T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 5/11 14/22 63.6% pie 1 286 212T264
Aggregate Predictions 427/490 179/490 606/980 61.8% pie


Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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