Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-29 Version:2

Prediction Map

MarcusDude Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

MarcusDude Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+2	+4	0	0	0	7	3	10	+4
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-2	-4	20	0	20	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	34	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	30	14

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2020 President	52/56	37/56	89/112	79.5%		1	71	434	T	684
2016 President	48/56	27/56	75/112	67.0%		5	17	440	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	14/34	44/68	64.7%		2	102	302	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	4/12	11/24	45.8%		2	102	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	0	8	T	112
2014 Senate	29/36	15/36	44/72	61.1%		7	11	288	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%		8	11	192	T	300
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%		3	10	314	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	12/33	43/66	65.2%		3	9	221	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	4/11	14/22	63.6%		1	41	157	T	228
2010 Senate	32/37	21/37	53/74	71.6%		2	48	167	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	20/37	53/74	71.6%		1	55	137	T	312
2008 President	53/56	29/56	82/112	73.2%		6	10	442	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%		5	10	81	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	4/11	14/22	63.6%		4	23	212	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	13/33	45/66	68.2%		5	2	278	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	18/36	53/72	73.6%		6	2	93	T	312
2004 President	53/56	15/56	68/112	60.7%		5	2	1672	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	575/632	307/632	882/1264	69.8%

Links

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