Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-03 Version:5

Prediction Map

wingindy Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

wingindy Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+1	+5	0	-1	-1	7	2	9	+4
Rep	0	+1	+1	-4	-1	-5	18	1	19	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	34	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
45	28	17

Analysis

Dems get a 50-50 Senate, with Bernie Sanders as the Chair of the Budget Committee!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%		7	6	434	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	21/35	54/70	77.1%		4	4	101	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		3	27	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	23/36	56/72	77.8%		3	21	94	T	372
2016 President	53/56	22/56	75/112	67.0%		21	1	440	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	17/34	45/68	66.2%		5	5	277	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	2/12	9/24	37.5%		1	94	269	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	21/36	55/72	76.4%		4	0	122	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	17/36	44/72	61.1%		2	16	171	T	300
2012 President	54/56	41/56	95/112	84.8%		9	0	314	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	14/33	46/66	69.7%		1	191	189	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	12/52	47/104	45.2%		10	-	83	T	231
2010 Senate	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%		9	15	116	T	456
2010 Governor	30/37	15/37	45/74	60.8%		1	299	214	T	312
2008 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%		22	1	41	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		5	1	14	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	4	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	45/52	21/52	66/104	63.5%		8	-	26	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	43/49	11/49	54/98	55.1%		11	-	31	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	671/752	389/752	1060/1504	70.5%

Links

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