Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-04 Version:11

Prediction Map

An Antineutrino Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

An Antineutrino Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	0	0	0	7	3	10	+4
Rep	0	0	0	-4	0	-4	18	2	20	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	34	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	32	23

Analysis

cya evan

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		1	311	147	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%		1	311	158	T	272
2020 President	53/56	45/56	98/112	87.5%		2	132	74	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%		3	97	194	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%		1	138	51	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		4	0	67	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	28/36	61/72	84.7%		5	2	6	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		2	3	40	T	149
2016 President	50/56	37/56	87/112	77.7%		14	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	23/34	55/68	80.9%		11	4	2	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		9	3	67	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	274	72	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%		17	1	42	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		12	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	2	17	T	153
Aggregate Predictions	381/425	285/425	666/850	78.4%

User Info

An Antineutrino Forum Profile

Links

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