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PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - Spark498 (D-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:28

Prediction Map
Spark498 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Spark498 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep19
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+40+40007310+4
Rep000-40-418220-4
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic143448
Republican203050
Independent022
 pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
463214
piepiepie

Analysis

34/36 - 94.4%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 243
P 2023 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 2 3 1T115
P 2022 Senate 31/35 22/35 53/70 75.7% pie 22 1 224T305
P 2022 Governor 33/36 24/36 57/72 79.2% pie 21 1 130T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 4 12 48T118
P 2020 President 51/56 45/56 96/112 85.7% pie 134 5 130T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 18/35 51/70 72.9% pie 15 3 241T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 3/11 14/22 63.6% pie 7 5 264T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 6 35T192
P 2018 Senate 32/35 16/35 48/70 68.6% pie 6 4 306T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 19/36 52/72 72.2% pie 10 6 189T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 2 98T149
P 2016 President 51/56 32/56 83/112 74.1% pie 104 1 114T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 14/34 46/68 67.6% pie 28 1 252T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 4/12 11/24 45.8% pie 9 1 223T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 93 72T112
Aggregate Predictions 322/359 205/359 527/718 73.4% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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