Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-05-19 Version:1

Prediction Map

gumball machine Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

gumball machine Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	-1	-1	-2	6	2	8	0
Rep	+1	+1	+2	-2	0	-2	20	2	22	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	34	44
Republican	24	30	54
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	32	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	31/35	28/35	59/70	84.3%		6	11	69	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	25/36	57/72	79.2%		5	17	130	T	272
2020 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		1	57	48	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		1	55	137	T	423
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%		3	460	194	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	20/34	52/68	76.5%		1	539	35	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	8/12	17/24	70.8%		1	487	14	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	273	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		30	0	21	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	17/36	45/72	62.5%		22	0	145	T	300
2010 Senate	33/37	22/37	55/74	74.3%		87	1	133	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	23/37	58/74	78.4%		10	2	74	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	109	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%		28	1	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	17/33	50/66	75.8%		12	8	117	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		3	110	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	9/52	6/52	15/104	14.4%		2	-	213	T	271
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		3	78	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		39	1	31	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	17/36	52/72	72.2%		17	9	107	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	547/639	384/639	931/1278	72.8%

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