Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-10-12 Version:4

Prediction Map

palinode Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

palinode Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	16
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	+1	+8	0	0	0	7	3	10	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-7	-1	-8	15	1	16	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	34	52
Republican	16	30	46
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
42	28	14

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President
2016 Senate	28/34	14/34	42/68	61.8%		4	27	327	T	362
2016 Governor	6/12	2/12	8/24	33.3%		2	177	274	T	279
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%		7	0	182	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	10/33	40/66	60.6%		1	21	252	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%		1	21	196	T	228
2008 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%		25	0	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%		3	9	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		1	13	152	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	226/246	144/246	370/492	75.2%

User Info

palinode Forum Profile

Links

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