PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - CBrown73 (D-CA) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2015-10-14 Version:1

Prediction Map
CBrown73 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
CBrown73 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+30+30007310+3
Rep000-30-319221-3
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic133447
Republican213051
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
503317
piepiepie

Analysis

Right now, Democrats are clearly in a solid position to win Wisconsin and Illinois, and I like their chances in New Hampshire in a presidential year. They will need to pick up at least one or two of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania to gain control of the Senate. I don't see any other real opportunities at this point.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President 49/56 27/56 76/112 67.9% pie 1 391 409T
P 2016 Senate 33/34 17/34 50/68 73.5% pie 1 391 89T
P 2014 Senate 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 1 417 273T
Aggregate Predictions 111/126 61/126 172/252 68.3% pie


Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

Back to 2016 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Service - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved