Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-04-23 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+1	+6	0	0	0	7	3	10	+6
Rep	0	0	0	-6	-1	-7	16	1	17	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	34	50
Republican	17	30	47
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
0	0	0

Analysis

NC might become Toss-up, ditto for MO and AZ. I expect blowback from not confirming Garland to ultimately doom Ayotte and Toomey.<br /> I don't think CO will be very competitive at the end of the day though I might revise that looking at polling.<br /> Isakson and Boozman appear to be safe.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	50/56	34/56	84/112	75.0%	1	5	575	T	684
2016 Senate	0/34	0/34	0/68	0.0%	1	199	0		362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%	1	373	164	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	0/3	1/6	16.7%	1	246	107	T	112
Aggregate Predictions	59/105	38/105	97/210	46.2%

User Info

TimTurner Forum Profile

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