PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - dmurphy1984 (R-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:1

Prediction Map
dmurphy1984 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
dmurphy1984 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+40+40-1-1729+3
Rep0+1+1-40-418220-3
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic133447
Republican213051
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
493118
piepiepie

Analysis

Dems pick up 3 seats in the Senate, but like Donald Trump in the presidential race, fall just short of winning control.<br /><br /> 51 to 49 GOP Majority in the Senate.<br /><br /> Roughly a 233 to 202 GOP Majority in the House.<br /><br /> Hillary is President, but with GOP control of Congress, gridlock is the name of the game.<br /><br /> So...no change there then.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 31/35 25/35 56/70 80.0% pie 1 1 147T305
P 2020 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 2 10 179T684
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 1 12 24T483
P 2016 President 53/56 38/56 91/112 81.3% pie 1 1 8T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 18/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 1 120T362
P 2014 Senate 36/36 26/36 62/72 86.1% pie 2 1 4T382
P 2012 President 50/56 39/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 5 508T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 1 0 144T343
P 2010 Senate 33/37 27/37 60/74 81.1% pie 4 0 54T456
P 2008 President 49/56 32/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 7 474T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 6 113T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 1 176 107T312
P 2004 President 55/56 37/56 92/112 82.1% pie 15 11 126T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 520/559 364/559 884/1118 79.1% pie


Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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