Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-05-18 Version:1

Prediction Map

stirling Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

stirling Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	3	10	0
Rep	0	0	0	0	0	0	22	2	24	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	34	44
Republican	24	30	54
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	32	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%		1	79	211	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	15/36	44/72	61.1%		1	81	311	T	372
2016 President	51/56	34/56	85/112	75.9%		1	540	66	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	22/34	54/68	79.4%		1	540	6	T	362
2014 Senate	30/36	15/36	45/72	62.5%		1	412	282	T	382
2014 Governor	25/36	12/36	37/72	51.4%		2	412	271	T	300
2010 Senate	32/37	15/37	47/74	63.5%		1	147	280	T	456
2010 Governor	24/37	12/37	36/74	48.6%		1	147	262	T	312
2008 President	47/56	22/56	69/112	61.6%		2	49	1031	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	21/33	4/33	25/66	37.9%		1	182	464		465
2006 Governor	23/36	9/36	32/72	44.4%		1	182	301	T	312
2004 President	49/56	35/56	84/112	75.0%		13	10	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	394/488	215/488	609/976	62.4%

Links

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