PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - weatherboy1102 (I-SC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-08-18 Version:3

Prediction Map
weatherboy1102 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
weatherboy1102 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem26
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+3-10-122123+2
Rep+10+1-1-2-3516-2
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic262349
Republican74249
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
483117
piepiepie

Analysis

ND is a pure tossup, but I'm giving it to the Republicans. Polling may shift my view on this.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 2

TN is close here but I think Bredesen is favored.


Version: 1

TN-Sen may become more of a tossup, we'll see.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 34/35 25/35 59/70 84.3% pie 1 190 69T305
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 62 48T118
P 2020 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 1 288 23T684
P 2018 Senate 31/35 17/35 48/70 68.6% pie 3 80 306T483
Aggregate Predictions 120/128 90/128 210/256 82.0% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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