Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-14 Version:7

Prediction Map

auburntiger Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

auburntiger Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	11
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-3	0	-3	21	0	21	-2
Rep	+3	0	+3	-1	0	-1	5	3	8	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	23	45
Republican	11	42	53
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	33	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2022 Senate	30/35	19/35	49/70	70.0%		1	4	271	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%		1	4	228	T	272
2020 President	48/56	37/56	85/112	75.9%		1	356	550	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%		1	292	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	294	147	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	19/35	52/70	74.3%		7	23	170	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	21/36	53/72	73.6%		5	25	164	T	372
2016 President	51/56	32/56	83/112	74.1%		1	24	114	T	678
2016 Senate	/34	/34	/68	0.0%			2457701			362
2016 Governor	10/12	3/12	13/24	54.2%		1	24	119	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	26/36	60/72	83.3%		5	1	21	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		5	1	123	T	300
2012 President	49/56	36/56	85/112	75.9%		1	14	614	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	13/33	40/66	60.6%		1	14	252	T	343
2012 Governor	8/11	4/11	12/22	54.5%		1	14	196	T	228
2010 Senate	33/37	22/37	55/74	74.3%		13	1	133	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	24/37	57/74	77.0%		7	1	91	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	7	56	T	103
2008 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		20	29	100	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	13/33	45/66	68.2%		2	33	257	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	4/11	14/22	63.6%		4	33	212	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	1/52	41/104	39.4%		6	-	99	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	42/49	6/49	48/98	49.0%		8	-	63		235
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%		6	1	232	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	12/36	45/72	62.5%		5	1	207	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	734/864	412/864	1146/1728	66.3%

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