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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-15 Version:8

Prediction Map
man_of_honor885 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
man_of_honor885 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-30-321021-3
Rep+30+3000639+3
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic212344
Republican124254
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Moved Nevada into the Republican Column for Dean Heller after his constant leads in recent Polling. Democrat Debbie Stabenow is now only ahead by 9 points in a recent poll leading me to conclude that senate race will narrow down.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: bluemcdowell (D-WV) 2018-10-15 @ 20:39:27 prediction Map
It appears the Kavanaugh hearings have given the Republicans at least a temporary boost. Whether or not that will remain the case on Election Day is yet to be seen...

 By: man_of_honor885 (R-PA) 2018-10-20 @ 09:55:16 prediction Map
That seems to be the case at this point, we will have to see if things change right before the 2018 midterm elections.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2018 Senate 33/35 20/35 53/70 75.7% pie 11 0 132T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 24/36 56/72 77.8% pie 6 2 94T
Aggregate Predictions 65/71 44/71 109/142 76.8% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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