Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:46

Prediction Map

BushCountry Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

BushCountry Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	11
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	8
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-3	0	-3	21	0	21	-2
Rep	+3	0	+3	-1	0	-1	5	3	8	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	23	45
Republican	11	42	53
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	33	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		6	2	74	T	115
2022 Senate	35/35	28/35	63/70	90.0%		49	1	16	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	27/36	62/72	86.1%		49	1	23	T	272
2020 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		111	6	260	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		65	4	66	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		19	21	51	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		2	10	130	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		46	4	42	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%		45	6	226	T	372
2016 President	51/56	38/56	89/112	79.5%		63	1	17	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	24/34	56/68	82.4%		55	1	1		362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%		25	1	25	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	26/36	59/72	81.9%		34	1	42	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		31	0	123	T	300
2012 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%		157	0	401	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	20/33	50/66	75.8%		66	0	111	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		21	0	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	42/52	18/52	60/104	57.7%		105	-	41	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		5	0	37	T	106
2010 Senate	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%		93	2	34	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		94	1	59	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		14	1	1	T	103
2008 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		183	1	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		101	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		43	1	86	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		8	2	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	24/33	55/66	83.3%		94	1	46	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	28/36	61/72	84.7%		103	1	22	T	312
2004 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		140	2	49	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	816/884	586/884	1402/1768	79.3%

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