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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:10

Prediction Map
man_of_honor885 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
man_of_honor885 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1-20-222022-1
Rep+20+20-1-1628+1
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic232346
Republican104252
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Yet again I have moved Arizona into the democratic column for right now, but who knows if it will stay that way with only four more days which is hard to believe.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: bluemcdowell (D-WV) 2018-11-02 @ 17:02:18 prediction Map
Mostly because Sinema appears to be a rather strong candidate as of right now, unlike in Nevada where it seems like we Dems have a weak candidate. Wait and see as always!

 By: man_of_honor885 (R-PA) 2018-11-04 @ 08:04:18 prediction Map
It seems as if we have the exact same map again as well.

 By: bluemcdowell (D-WV) 2018-11-06 @ 03:17:12 prediction Map
I flipped NV, because polls usually underestimate the Democrat there for whatever reason. I am undecided about that right now. NV, IN, MO, and AZ could go either way.

 By: man_of_honor885 (R-PA) 2018-11-06 @ 15:31:40 prediction Map
Yeah that's what I ended up doing as well just to be safe


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2018 Senate 33/35 20/35 53/70 75.7% pie 11 0 132T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 24/36 56/72 77.8% pie 6 2 94T
Aggregate Predictions 65/71 44/71 109/142 76.8% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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