PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - Nik (R-TN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:7

Prediction Map
Nik MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Nik MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Tos8
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-70-717017-7
Rep+70+7000639+7
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic172340
Republican164258
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Early voting is very bad for the Democrats so far.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Politician (I-MA) 2018-11-03 @ 13:15:27 prediction Map
Ding dong your prediction is wrong

 By: boatfullogoats (R-ISR) 2018-11-03 @ 20:05:33 prediction Map
"Please keep comments respectful and analytical" This isn't actually too unrealistic. Take a look at Manchin's and Sherrod Brown's recent poll numbers. They're much lower than say a week ago, from multiple different polls.

 By: man_of_honor885 (C-PA) 2018-11-05 @ 16:44:27 prediction Map
I would say that in the end Joe Manchin will win in west virginia due to his vote for kavanaugh and that boosting his support in the state. Sherrod Brown will almost certainly beat Jim Renacci in Ohio due to him not being a great candidate and the GOP not funding his campaign after the primary.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 24/35 54/70 77.1% pie 8 0 106T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 29/36 61/72 84.7% pie 7 2 6T
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 2 98T
P 2016 President 52/56 33/56 85/112 75.9% pie 8 0 66T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 20/34 51/68 75.0% pie 6 0 60T
P 2016 Governor 10/12 8/12 18/24 75.0% pie 6 0 3T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 1 8T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 16 0 4T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 16 0 22T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 4 1 1T
P 2012 President 47/56 29/56 76/112 67.9% pie 11 1 702T
P 2012 Senate 23/33 10/33 33/66 50.0% pie 5 1 319T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 4 1 179T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 20/52 63/104 60.6% pie 25 - 27T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 2 34 12T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 24/37 57/74 77.0% pie 20 1 100T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 20 1 59T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 10 1T
P 2008 President 45/56 28/56 73/112 65.2% pie 21 0 791T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 22/33 52/66 78.8% pie 9 0 81T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 9 0 86T
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 25/52 64/104 61.5% pie 15 - 33
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 22/49 63/98 64.3% pie 14 - 7T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 2 51 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 21/33 51/66 77.3% pie 9 1 133T
P 2006 Governor 36/36 23/36 59/72 81.9% pie 9 1 36T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 18 1 49T
Aggregate Predictions 707/813 475/813 1182/1626 72.7% pie



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