Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:3

Prediction Map

Ogre Mage Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Ogre Mage Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	23
Rep	7
Ind	2
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-2	0	-2	22	0	22	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	23	47
Republican	9	42	51
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	33	24

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	24/35	58/70	82.9%		1	86	97	T	305
2020 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%		6	5	307	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		6	3	66	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		3	0	24	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		1	4	78	T	372
2016 President	49/56	32/56	81/112	72.3%		7	2	194	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%		8	6	277	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%		1	0	164	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		9	0	158	T	382
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	22	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		4	13	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%		8	2	74	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	2	51	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	24/37	58/74	78.4%		10	2	86	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%		1	2	29	T	312
2008 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		8	2	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%		8	4	81	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		4	10	50	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	17	1	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	573/614	398/614	971/1228	79.1%

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